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Welcome!
Change in Leadership
Beth Raps
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I have a poster in my kitchen that reads "Put the message in the hands of the
people and move on." I am! This is my last editorial in the newsletter as co-director, this last
is to announce that Lynne Carter is taking over directorship of the Network. I am moving into
a support role to Lynne's leadership. It is a joy to have put the message in the hands of the
(right) people and then to move on! I will continue assisting with raising funds for the Network,
and editing the newsletter this year along with our web whizzes Matthew Carlstroem and Michael
Neely who turn it into something beautiful to read online. |
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Costs of Adaptation
Lynne Carter
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I have been waiting for quite a while for one major issue
to emerge that I see as related to climate change and the costs of adaptation. Now it has finally
reared its head. It is the issue of responsibility.
What do I mean? "Responsibility" in adaptation to climate change is similar to
the way we view responsibility with regard to smoking and lung cancer. For a very long time
people felt that there was a relationship between smoking and lung cancer but it was difficult
to prove. There was also a concerted effort to obfuscate the relationship by the tobacco companies.
In climate change, we have seen oil and gas interests try to obfuscate and confuse
responsibility for climatic changes. Their efforts are only now beginning to crumble. According
to the Anchorage Daily News of February 26, 2008, the first global warming lawsuit has been
filed in federal district court by both the City of Kivalina and the Native Village of Kivalina
(a federally recognized tribe). It is against nine oil companies, fourteen electric power companies
and one coal company. The complaint states: "This is a suit to recover damages from global warming
caused by defendants' actions."
Kivalina is one of at least a half-dozen villages on Alaska's coast suffering
severe erosion. This erosion is mostly related to late fall freezing of ice that allows storms
to batter the coasts where these villages are located. The villages of Kivalina, Shishmaref,
Unalakleet, and Newtok, among others, were once protected from these tidal surges by sea ice-but
now the land is being eroded away. The costs of seawall improvements are estimated in the range
of $10-20 million and relocation costs for Kivalina alone are estimated in the range of $100
million.
The questions asked by this lawsuit are "Who is going to pay?" and "Where is the
money going to come from to save these villages?"
This is an interesting development in adaptation to climate change. While I am
not a lawyer, I will be watching the outcome of this lawsuit and the precedent that it will
set in terms of how responsibility is assessed for costs of adapting to climate changes that
may have been more easily avoided in the past than they are now and than they will be in the
future.
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Comments Needed ASAP!:
National Water Program Strategy: Response to Climate Change
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The Adaptation Network encourages you, right now, to submit comments
to the EPA on how it plans to respond to water issues in light of climate change. All
comments are due by May 27. Find the draft strategy plans at http://www.epa.gov/water/climatechange and
respond today! Background: The EPA's draft document represents the agency's initial
efforts to identify potential impacts of climate change for clean water and drinking
water programs and define actions to respond to these impacts. The draft strategy proposes
46 specific actions that EPA will take to respond to climate change. Only those actions
which can be initiated in fiscal year 2008 or 2009 with an assumption of level funding
are included in the draft strategy. |
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Learning from Others' Experiences
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At times the Network has the opportunity
to speak with climate change adapters. We can gain valuable lessons learned and words of
experience from these leaders. In this issue, we describe the raising of the Deer Island
Sewage Treatment Plant in Boston, and what an intelligent adaptation it was.
When the Deer Island Sewage Treatment Plant was being
planned in the late 1980s, projections were that sea level was rising and would continue to
rise due to global warming. Looking at the projections available at that time a plausible
numerical value related to the projected rise was chosen for the target date of 2050, the
projected lifetime of the plant. Planners decided to raise the plant 1.9 feet to accommodate
at least the amount of rise projected for the lifetime of the facility.
The two things that are important to me from the Deer Island
experience are:
- The group's recognition that the future will be different
from the past and that they should plan for the future. To me this is one of the most
important messages that needs to be incorporated into thinking and planning; too often
we use the historical climate of the past to plan future actions.
- Assessing and taking the actions that would be more
difficult and expensive to incorporate at a later date. While it is difficult to knowingly
increase an expenditure, it is sometimes the prudent course and can actually save a great
deal of cost and effort in the long run. For example, at Deer Island's plant, spending
money raising the plant was far cheaper than the projected cost of adding pumps later,
once sea level had risen so far as to require them. Since there was plenty of fill on
the island, this was a cost-effective decision. On the other hand, planners decided not
to plan to armor the island at the same time, since this could be done later and at a
relatively small cost.
The Network sincerely thanks Stephen Estes-Smargiassi, Director
of Planning, Massachusetts Water Resources Authority, Boston, MA. (617) 788-4303, email: Stephen.Estes-Smargiassi@mwra.state.ma.us
for discussing these important considerations in depth with us.
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Adaptation Network News
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The Town of Sandwich, MA has included climate change in the development
of the town's new comprehensive plan. The plans calls for the development of a mitigation
plan and an adaptation plan for the town. This change in the town plan follows attendance
at the December 2007 meeting called by the Waquoit Bay Estuarine Research Reserve entitled:
Climate Change and Cape Cod: Coastal Impacts and Adaptation Strategies, at which Adaptation
Network Director Lynne Carter spoke on the need for towns to include adaptation planning in
comprehensive plans. Kudos to Town Planner Bob Fultz for looking forward to better protect
and prepare his town for coming changes.
The Adaptation Network: Building Resilience in a Changing Climate is
a nonprofit, tax-exempt project of the Earth Island Institute. For more information on Earth
Island, see www.earthisland.org. We are supported
by caring people like you. You can make a gift to support us easily through our website or
by mailing a check to
PO Box 117, Berkeley Springs, WV 25411
Make checks out to: Earth Island Institute, with "for the Adaptation Network"
clearly indicated in the memo section of the check. If you'd like to make an inkind gift to
the Adaptation Network, airline credits are always useful and welcomed! Gifts "in honor of" are
a wonderful way to reduce "stuff" and add meaning to your birthday, anniversary, and other giving-tax-deductibly!
Contact Beth Raps to do this at bethraps@earthlink.net.
Congratulations to Josh Foster, for his new appointment as the Adaptation Program
Manager at the nonprofit organization Center for Clean Air Policy (CCAP)! Josh was formerly
Program Coordinator for the Transition of Research Applications to Climate Services (TRACS)
Program, at the federal agency NOAA.
The Connecticut General Assembly passed a bill entitled: AN ACT CONCERNING CONNECTICUT
GLOBAL WARMING SOLUTIONS on April 30, 2008. The bill includes a specific section (section
7) focused on planning for impacts (adaptation).
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New Resources in Adaptation and...
Alaska
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The Governor of the State of Alaska is developing an executive
sub-cabinet entirely devoted to climate change divided into advisory and technical work groups
that will recommend actions. Work groups will hold public forums, and committees will "represent
a full spectrum of views and concerns" around each of the main issues. One exciting example: "the
Adaptation Advisory Work Group will assess options to help communities, businesses and citizens
take action to prevent foreseeable impacts caused by a changing climate; or if impacts are not
preventable, propose actions to best adapt to those impacts." Yes!! For copies of documents and
to cheer (and emulate) Alaska's progress, see the State's climate change web site: www.climatechange.alaska.gov. |
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Birds
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We note the publication of Birds on the Move: A Climatic
Atlas of European Breeding Birds. In addition to showing projections of range changes for
many European birds, the atlas also suggests actions (adaptations) that can be undertaken to
assist movement of species into new ranges and to build resilience in bird populations. For
an overview brochure or to order, see: www.rspb.org/news/details.asp?id=tcm:9-180304. |
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Business
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The Pew Center on Global Climate Change's Adapting to Climate
Change: A Business Approach is "a climate risk screening framework" (p. 29) to help businesses
plan adaptation strategies using three case studies. See www.pewclimate.org/publications.
While the report concludes that not every company needs to take immediate action, all need to
be aware of risks and vulnerabilities in their actual physical structures as well as in their
supply chains and customer bases. |
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Climate Prediction
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Climatologist Kevin Trenberth told the Adaptation Network about
a new and useful paper he has posted to his website: www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/trenbert.html.
The paper was published in January's WMO Bulletin and is titled "Observational Needs for
Climate Prediction and Adaptation." |
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Transportation
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From the United States' Climate Change Science Program (CCSP)'s
Assessment series: Impacts of Climate Change and Variability on Transportation Systems and
Infrastructure: Gulf Coast Study, Phase I. The first of this three-phase series assesses
Gulf Coast transportation system vulnerabilities to potential changes in weather patterns and
related impacts, based on 21 simulation models and a range of emissions scenarios. Results suggest
that potential changes in climate over the next 50 - 100 years could disrupt transportation
services in the region: 27% of major roads, nine percent of rail lines, and 72 % of ports in
the area are at or below four feet above sea level. The report suggests including in future
transportation planning and development: exposure to climate stressors, vulnerability, resilience,
and adaptation. It also suggests using a new planning approach based on
"probabilities of potential impacts." To download the document go to: www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap4-7/final-report/.
From the US Department of Transportation's (DOT's) Center for Climate Change
and Environmental Forecasting: Potential Impacts of Global Sea Level Rise on Transportation
Infrastructure, Phase 1, The District of Columbia, Maryland, North Carolina and Virginia.
This document estimates the impacts of sea level rise on East Coast transportation systems to
allow development of "a plan to address the potential impacts of sea level rise" and
to provide information on the location and quantity of infrastructure that could be affected.
This document notes the average rate of coastal erosion along with varying estimates of sea
level rise over the next 50 - 100 years could result in the necessity of protecting important
low-lying elements of the transportation system. To download this document, go to: http://climate.dot.gov/publications/potential_impacts_of_global_sea_level_rise/index.html.
Phase 2 will be about New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, South Carolina, Georgia,
and the Atlantic Coast of Florida.
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Useful Models
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Adaptation Planning - What U.S. States
and Localities are Doing is published by the Pew Center on Global Climate Change www.pewclimate.org/publications to
survey adaptation plans and implementation around the U.S. The 33 state plans examined generally
only make mention of adaptation without specific recommendations for action and focus on mitigation
and expected impacts. The paper offers information about the few states that do have specific
adaptation plans in place or in progress, along with websites for updates and more details.
Links to documents on adaptation underway or planned in the U.S.
can be found on the Adaptation Network's website, www.adaptationnetwork.org.
These documents are Preparing for Climate Change: A Guidebook for Local, Regional, and State
Governments by the Climate Impacts Group, ICLEI, and King County, Washington; A Survey
of Climate Change Adaptation Planning by the Heinz Center, and also Lynne Carter's Powerpoint
presentation, "Adaptation: It's Just Better Planning."
Environment Canada's Adaptation and Impacts Research Division has released
the first edition of its Compendium of Adaptation Models for Climate Change. Contact: don.maciver@ec.gc.ca.
It selects 35 adaptation models and summarizes them. Another useful feature of the Compendium
is its categorization of adaptation models into four groups: impact-centered models (ICMs);
adaptation-centered models (ACMs); evaluation models; and optimization models.
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Announcements
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The Utne Reader recently gave one of its 2007
Independent Press Awards to the beautifully produced controversy-exploring magazine of our fiscal
sponsor the Earth Island Institute. This magazine is entitled the Earth Island Journal and
you can subscribe to it very inexpensively through the Adaptation Network. Contact Beth Raps
at bethraps@earthlink.net to
find out how! |
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We note the inaugural issue of No Regrets, a newsletter
on adaptation planning and risk assessment published by Indigo Development: www.indigodev.com. |
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The UK Climate Impacts Program offers a monthly summary
of recent climate change research called the UK Climate Digest. Find most recent summaries
plus archived issues on the UKCIP website: www.ukcip.org.uk. |
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Desperately Seeking
fellow researchers/practitioners. . .
Your AD Here!
no photo necessary.
send all correspondence in care of the Adaptation Network.
If you are seeking colleagues, partners, or simply contacts in any area related to
adaptation to climate change, please send us your "ad" and we'll publish it!
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